Why is everyone so convinced that it was Hillary’s tears which swung the vote in New Hampshire? It seems to me at least possible that there is a certain reluctance to vote for black peopple. This is understood to be shameful, which is why everyone tells pollsters they will vote Obama. But in a secret ballot, their fingers vote for Hillary. I hope I’m wrong. But it is certainly true that the pollsters in this country have to compensate deliberately for the fact that people are ashamed to say they are voting Conservative1 and we will know by the end of the year whether I am right about the USA. After all, she can’t cry in every primary, so if Obama consistently does worse than the polls would suggest, it’s up to the optimists to come up with a better theory.
1 And so they should be.