My expertise on the papacy is great enough that I won’t bet at all here. It’s just too much lke the Grand National: long and gruelling course, women riders discouraged, form very hard to read — but the real difference is that you can’t, in a conclave, put on an each-way bet.
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Meta
I was collecting the odds from the Pontypridd bookmaker Jack Brown, whose Karl Williams was most disappointed not to have a Welsh candidate in the running, when he concluded by asking me who, if he gave me